Monday, September 22, 2008

PA comes home to roost



Abdulla Yameen's return to the DRP fold could very well be the non-event par excellence of Election 2008. It is partly because no one believed Yameen left his brother anyway. It is also partly because Yameen does not appear any longer to be the political persona that he was on 11 April 2007 when he resigned from the cabinet.


Ironically, in an op-ed article in Miadhu Daily following Yameen's resignation in 2007 I had written that considering the situation as it existed then, he had an excellent chance to take a shot at the presidency, IF he started the campaign then. He didn't, and the rest is history, as they say.


As reported by Haveeru Daily, PA's decision to join forces with DRP is the result of 'convergence of ideas' and the inclusion of PA manifesto in that of DRP. "Under this agreement PA will give political support and assistance to promote the DRP presidential candidate and running mate in the 2008 Presidential Election," PA Vice President Moosa Rameez was quoted in Haveeru.


Yameen's return to his brother's side appears less a tactical move and more a zugzwang –the dilemma in chess where one is doomed to make a move. Unlike in mathematical equations, in politics 1+1 does not always add up to 2. It could even result in ½. Only time will tell the result of the DRP + PA equation.

What does Yameen bring to PA? His most obvious gift will be PA's half dozen odd MPs, who still have 6 months before their expiry date. And yes, some of them may even get elected. In return for this 'gift' DRP might have to pay a heavy price –renewed charges of nepotism.


Yameen is likely to get a couple of cabinet berths following this deal. But the looming question is, what did he gain from the one-year sabbatical? It is widely believed he left DRP because of differences of opinion over Gasim Ibrahim's position within the party. Gasim is of course no longer in the party, but others have stepped into the vacuum.

It's a nice gesture on the part of Yameen to come to the side of his aging brother. Probably this just about sums up the whole saga.

19 comments:

Mohamed Naahii said...

Cant that be a political game played between Yameen and Maumoon ?

Anonymous said...

when you know there's not enough support from the public where else is better than joining the family strike

Anonymous said...

as you have pointed out, this is the least "catastrophic" event in the presidential race because it was a given that Yameen would in the end jst end up supporting his brother in the presidential race.
I do not however believe that Yameen might have gained support of the public as a presidential candidate even if he had started two years back, because he has never been and i dont think he will ever be a "people" person!

Anonymous said...

Even Yameen is smart fellow; people are not accepted as leader because of his arrogant attitude. The last one year he tried his best to show the people he is capable person. He formed a party, it took almost one year to get 3000 signature. But nobody talked about PA now it vanished. His closed friends like Jabir and Zahir Adam have joined Jumhoori Party. This also shows his leadership is not capable even to maintain his closest friends. In short he is nothing if his brother is not in power.

Anonymous said...

Poor Yameen, I cannot but pity him. Gayyoom, is one that would destroy anyone, even his own brother, to remain in power. Yameen was once a young, energetic, educated person, fit to lead the country. However, Gayyoom brought him to the cabinet, gave him all kinds of high posts, and at the same time destroyed his own brothers reputation as a corrupt person. It was Gayyoom's network that created that image of Yameen, behind the seen.

Yameen left Government because he was treated poorly by Gayyoom then, because Gayyoom took the advise of Dr. Hassan and Dr. Shaheed. Yameen was moved to a lousy ministry,and Gayyoom was working with his two golden boys to attack and destroy MDP. Later when Gasim was brought in, again for the benefit of Gayyoom himself, Yameen knew that his own brother had betrayed him.

Now Yameen has no choice. Without Gayyoom he is doomed, he konws that. With Gayyoom he is doomed too. He has no choice but to join Gayyoom because Yameen knows well that if he refuses, Gayyoom will pull corruption stories and charges on him and Nazim. Gayyoom has the files with him, and will pull it on anytime. So, Yameen is forced. We knew this day will come. Poor Yameen. Afer all, Farish and Hamdhoon has won in destroying your future. We understand, and feel sorry for you.

Maldivian Devil said...

Why am I not surprised that Yameen went crawling back to Gayoom with his tail between his legs?

Because he never left Gayoom in the first place (remember his Minivan News interview where he said he believed Maumoon is the best guy for the President)

http://maldiviandevil.blogspot.com/2008/09/how-do-you-decide-who-to-vote-for-low.html

Anonymous said...

In an interview to Minivannews a gang member noted yameen and abdulla kamaaludeed as guys who were paying them for support. Just a couple opf days ago we heard that the guys who murdered Ishaar have been freed. Now we hear of a colaition between Yameen and Maumoon. Could the release of the gang members have anything to do with Yameen joining Gayoom.

Anonymous said...

Yameen is a cold rationalist like Putin of Russia. He is devoid of humility and that is not how modern leaders should be.

When we choose a leader, we don’t need a machine.

Anonymous said...

Hello Anonymous who sent the comment at 2:58am, 23 September 2008.
Stop criticizing Yameen if you can't spell 'scene'. Learn when to use 'has' and 'have'.
I feel sorry for you.

Anonymous said...

The whole thing was a game between Yameen and Maumoon. At the very begining he left Maumoon (as arranged and agreed between the two of them)to gain support and popularity among the public. All these days he was debating in the parliament against Maumoon and as a result he was Ok. Once he realised that he has gained enough public support for critisising his bro, he then thought of forming a party. and then he gradually started changing his music to towards his bro...saying maumoon is the only capable canidate to be the president of the Maldives. As election comes closeby, he knew its time to let the cat out of the bag. So that all his supporters were reluctantly draged to join DRP, thereby increasing the number of vores to the DRP. This was well preplanned drama masterminded by the great "leader".

Anonymous said...

Relic of tyranny: Maumoon
Lets create a monopoly: Gasim
I'm the fairest of all: Hassan
All blind but lawyers: Ibra
Shoot to kill: Umar
Born for democracy: Anni

Anonymous said...

Yameen left DRP not Gayyoom, because things didn't went well in DRP specially Gasim had the control of DRP. Yaameen fellowers like Jabir and Nazim thought Yaamin had the guts to challenge his brother, now its proved he has not. Then comes the question of Gasim, I still doubt that he is defying Gayyoom, rather i think Gasim is a backup plan to save Gayyoom if things didn't go as planned. lets wait and see how things unfold. If DRP and MDP were to go for a second vote, I bet Gasim will side with Gayyoom. After all its Kaaminee clan on the line.

Anonymous said...

I never had a doubt of this. I believed that this would happen, we know their game. Maldivians are no longer fools, their game is going to end soon insha allah,and both brothers will see their charges in the court of law..AAAAAAAAAmin

Anonymous said...

Did he really leave DRP? Was it a show staged for him to pave the way for Prime Minister if Parliamentary form of government was decided? So he could be PM and his aging brother as the President. This plot backfired. So he waited for sometime before joining hands.

Anonymous said...

Yameen rules by fear using gangs and violence.

All the places he 'managed' such as STO, STELCO, Trade, Labour all had a gang whom only Yameen can access.

He will not even look at other staff. Study these places and you know it.

Anonymous said...

alcapon and raagondi rajaa is back..

Anonymous said...

Well look at it this way! Now that there is a court case against Maumoon in the Supreme Court and depending on the ruling, DRP could need a new Presidential Candidate. Can Maumoon give it to someone other than his family? Of course not! It is a "democratic" kingdom!

Well so far the the DRP campaign is a "Moon - Mean" campaign. If what I have just said above happens it would be a "Mean - Mean" campaign and the would be really MEAN! BEWARE!!!!

Anonymous said...

Yaameen is hoping to kick his own brother out of the ballot by lobbying the high court to make a decision against him. Watch out folks. Together with Abbas ibrahim and Yaameen are the biggest vultures in our society.

Anonymous said...

Maumoon has nothing to gain and everything to loose from Yameen.

Yameen could not even stop Qasim from rising up even when all the means of the Government were given for the task.